Investigación

El proyecto consta de cuatro paquetes de trabajo (WP):

WP1: Los significados de 'votar'

El equipo de DeVOTE ha participado en varias actividades de recopilación de datos en los últimos años. Desde el inicio del proyecto en 2021, se han recogido datos de aproximadamente de 25.000 personas en 13 países. Se cubrieron países de Europa, África, América y Oceanía: Australia, Brasil, Colombia, Estados Unidos de América, Estonia, Hungría, Italia, Kenia, Nigeria, Serbia, Suecia, Túnez y Türkiye. Solo de las respuestas abiertas hemos recolectado cerca de un millón de palabras sobre el significado del voto. Nos complace anunciar que ya están en marcha varias publicaciones, cuyas novedades puede encontrar aquí. Nuestro objetivo es publicar en acceso abierto, para que los resultados de nuestra investigación estén al alcance de todos.

Published

In-person or convenience voting? The role of the direct costs in explaining preferences for voting modalities

By M. Belén Abdala Abdala, published in Electoral Studies. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102851

High turnout is crucial for political legitimacy. By reducing the direct costs of voting in person, such as queuing and taking time off work, convenience voting modalities are expected to increase turnout. Yet, little is known about the role these costs play in explaining how citizens want to vote. This paper investigates whether perceptions of the direct costs of voting influence individual preferences for in-person compared to convenience forms of balloting such as voting by mail, or absentee voting. Using original cross-sectional data and a preregistered survey experiment encompassing the 2022 US midterm elections, I find that higher direct costs reduce individual preferences for in-person voting. Importantly, this reduction is not compensated by higher preferences for convenience modalities.

 In press

The Meanings of Voting for Citizens: A Scientific Challenge, a Portrait, and Implications

Comparative Politics series

By Carolina Plescia

with M. Belén Abdala, André Blais, Ming M. Boyer, Anna Lia Brunetti, Cal Le Gall, Sylvia Kritzinger, Carolina Plescia, Petro Tolochko, Markus Wagner and Elizabeth J. Zechmeister. 

Soon to be published by the Oxford University Press.

Working papers

• “Trust in government or in technology? What really drives internet voting”

Abdala, M. Belén, Carolina Plescia, Ming M. Boyer, and Anna Lia Brunetti.

R&R

Internet voting is seen as a key technological innovation, with trust being crucial for its adoption. But which is more important: trust in government or in technology? Using a cross-sectional analysis and an online experiment in Estonia, we test a multidimensional trust framework. Our findings reveal a strong link between trust in government and i-voting technology, but trust in technology plays a stronger role in the choice between online and in-person voting. These insights enhance understanding of i-voting and its practical implementation in democratic processes.

• “Voting as if your rights depend on it: The role of strife in the political motivations of marginalized voters”

Abdala, M. Belén.

Currently under review

Research shows that gender, ethnicity, and sexuality influence voter turnout, but with mixed expectations. Some argue that marginalized groups face barriers that lower turnout, while others suggest that adversity motivates them to vote to defend their rights. This paper tests the latter by examining why women, LGB individuals, and ethnic minorities vote, focusing on two motivations: expressing preferences or seeking political change. Findings reveal that women report fewer motivations than men, while LGB individuals are more motivated instrumentally. Discrimination, especially for ethnic minorities, strengthens both motivations. These insights shed light on the psychological drivers of political participation in underrepresented groups.

• “Meanings and action: are meanings of voting the heartbeat of political participation?”

Brunetti, Anna Lia.

Currently under review

The significance of voting is increasingly questioned as more citizens turn to alternative forms of civic engagement. This paper argues that citizens meanings of voting shape their political participation. Using survey data from eight countries, the findings show that these meanings not only affect voting but also other forms of participation, such as petitioning, protesting, or online activism. This underscores how meanings of voting drive political participation, acting as motivations or disincentives for engaging in specific political behaviors.

• “Negative Campaigns, Negative Votes? Meanings of Voting and Political Campaigns”

Boyer, Ming M., Cal Le Gall, and Carolina Plescia.

Paper won the 2022 ECPR Political Communication Division Best Paper Award

Currently under review

Increasing negative partisanship and affective polarization suggest that citizens may view voting more as opposing a candidate or party than supporting one – or even become averse to voting itself. Using preregistered analyses in Hungary and the U.S., we show that these negative meanings of voting are widespread and linked to electoral mobilization, democratic attitudes, and parties’ use of negative tactics. Two survey experiments confirm that campaign perceptions are mainly shaped by partisanship. While voting attitudes relate to campaign behavior, only the most extreme messages directly impact them, with subtler negative tactics influencing attitudes over time. The democratic implications are discussed.

• “Outgroup Vote Delegitimization: Making Sense of Outgroup Voting Behaviour”

Plescia, Carolina, Ming M. Boyer and M. Belén Abdala.

Currently under review

Partisans live in different areas, consume different sources of information, and often disagree on the very facts that they base their political opinions on. As a result, they are likely to misunderstand the political choices of opposing party supporters, including their votes. This paper introduces “outgroup vote delegitimization” to describe how partisans make sense of the voting behavior of opposing party supporters, and tests it in Brazil, Italy, and the USA, finding that it correlates with affective polarization and affects citizens’ satisfaction and acceptance of election outcomes, potentially threatening democratic stability.

• “Voting Against or Against Voting?”

Boyer, Ming M., Carolina Plescia, and André Blais.

In preparation for submission

Politics has grown more negative, sparking concerns about disengagement and democratic decline, but research offers conflicting results. We argue that this stems from a failure to distinguish between two types of negativity: (a) using voting to oppose a party, politician, or policy, and (b) rejecting voting itself. In a study of 12 diverse countries (N = 23,828), we validate these concepts, showing they reflect distinct attitudes. The first indicates dissatisfaction but belief in elections, while the second signals deeper disillusionment and rejection of voting. This distinction clarifies the link between political negativity and democracy.

• “In It to Win It? The Role of Citizen Meanings of Voting in the Winner-Loser Gap of Diffuse Political Support”

Boyer, Ming M., Anna Lia Brunetti, and Carolina Plescia.

In preparation for submission

Broad support of the political system is essential for democracy, but election winners and losers often differ in their diffuse political support. While institutional factors have been studied, less is known about how individual differences impact this gap. This paper explores how views on voting affect the winner-loser gap. Using panel data from Hungary and the US, findings show that those who see voting as instrumental amplify the gap, while those who vote out of ethical duty reduce it. Expressive voting has no effect, while voting to support democracy boosts support in both groups. These insights inform efforts to reduce the winner-loser gap and strengthen political support.

• “Election integrity, electoral participation and the meanings of voting”

Abdala, M. Belén, and Anna Lia Brunetti.

Working paper

Doubts about election integrity can undermine democratic legitimacy and reduce voter turnout. This study challenges the assumption that all citizens vote to influence outcomes by examining how perceptions of election integrity – confidence in the fairness and conduct of elections – affect turnout. Using survey data from various countries holding elections between March 2022 and May 2023, we explore whether voting meanings (instrumental, expressive, ethical, allegiance, or anti-voting) explain this relationship. Our results show that high perceived integrity motivates non-voters and those with anti-voting meanings, while those with a meaning are discouraged from voting. This suggests the effect of perceived fairness on turnout varies across groups.

• “Why do people run for office? Exploring the political motivations of first-time candidates”

Abdala, M. Belén and Carolina Plescia.

Working paper

Descriptively, office holders tend to represent a select few, often missing the broader diversity of the population. This raises a crucial question in the study of political representation: why do (some) individuals decide to run for office? While prior research has extensively examined political ambition and candidate emergence, most studies have focused on those already in the race or relied on hypothetical scenarios using convenient samples. To advance the discussion on what motivates people to run for office, we examine the political motivations of first-time candidates in the context of a real election campaign.

• “Expressivity or instrumentality, what drives negative voting?”

Molas, Clara Faulí, Carolina Plescia, Diego Garzia, and Frederico Ferreira Da Silva.

Working paper

This paper investigates what it means to vote negatively, by analysing whether this is more linked to expressive or instrumental motives. The analysis focuses on the last European Parliament elections, but it also establishes a comparison with two national elections. This allows us to assess how the governance level influences the meanings of party choice.